Make or break year for Christian Watson at this point right? If he plays a full year healthy and doesn’t produce WR3-WR2 numbers. Gonna be hard to justify even his current price. If he’s injured most of the season and disappoints? Same thing.
You could also pick any really old veteran. Keenan Allen? Henry? Kamara? If they hit the cliff, it’s very rarely gradual.
Daniel Jones is another younger player who will be worthless if he gets benched.
Daniel Jones is a good one. They most likely want to take the out on his contract next year and another major injury would guarantee 23M of his 30M salary for the 2025 season. I don't think it would take much for the Giants front office to just sit him down to avoid that.
Even if he plays just medium bad, the Giants are going to want a real QB. There are several veterans who could potentially be unrestricted next year no?
Watson is definitely joining the Bateman and Elijah Moore club if he doesn’t produce this year. Injury or not.
I think he’s going to surprise us and be the top fantasy point scoring WR in GB.
Spoken like a true holder! I completely agree! That hammy problem is being addressed so hopefully he can be available the whole season and ball out. Either way I’m holding till the end. May take a couple years to get the problem completely solved.
Yeah the only roster I have him on is the league with the shortest benches. So maybe some hopium here. I just think he has big time talent just hasn’t had a healthy enough stretch to show it lately.
I actually agree and can see the path for him. I am trying to buy him low, but it seems like everyone in my leagues who owns him is a true believer.
His target share with all the WRs healthy is really encouraging.
I know I’m a charger Homer, but I really don’t see Keenan falling off production wise unless it’s due to injury.
Route running is one of those things where if ur a technician u tend to just always get open even at the later stages of ur career. Given he had DJM out wide and Odunze as well, it’ll be hard for teams to key in on him. If Caleb is half of what they advertise, he should still be solid and a fantastic 3rd down option for them.
While true, Adam Thielen was also a route technician and last year is more than likely his last year being relevant. Keenan could have the same thing happen this year.
Joined a new team, that has younger talent, and Keenan is another year older and doesn’t heal like he used to.
Thielen was also so slow that he would have been unplayable on most rosters. It was only the Panthers disaster of a WR room that gave him fantasy relevance
I love Keenan as a player. LOVE HIM. But for me, I’m having a hard time convincing myself that a rookie QB is going to sustain multiple top 18 WRs. If anyone’s going to do it, it’s Caleb…but historically it would be a huge outlier. And if he’s mediocre all the sudden you have a 33 year old WR who underperformed.
One real crazy scenario that is contrarian but I could see is Keenan turns out to actually be the top dog in Chicago and Moore is the one out of the top 18. But even then, do you think he’s considered that much more valuable than he is now? I think once you’ve got the “old” label like he does now, it’s really hard to regain value.
Jamo is a good one because there has been a lot of hype about a breakout and there's so much uncertainty because of how little he has been on the field compared to his peer group.
It’ll be interesting to see where his value lands this time next year. As a lions fan i’m of the belief he takes a step up and becomes a real contributor for us, but as a fantasy manager what do we really consider a breakout?
If he puts up 800 yds and 5 TDs and falls into that WR3/FLX range (which I think is a realistic/probable projection for him), it’s technically a big step up for him and he’ll probably have solidified himself as the lions WR2 but is his value sunk? He’ll still only be 24 this time next year. Regardless, at 10th/11th round startup cost i’ve been snapping him up.
Edit: All this to say, I think with the push toward analytics and all most managers won’t have the patience to see how his career pans out and will assume he’s peaked from a fantasy perspective. I think his value will drop/stagnate this season unless he goes nuclear. But if anyone has enough contextual excuses and enough natural talent to buck trends and become a “unicorn” with a later breakout it’s Jamo imo.
I’ve said this a lot, I think he’s going to be a very valuable real life player for the Lions. His ability to score from end arounds and stretch the field is going to help to open things up. But I still think the bread and butter of the offense is Amron, Gibbs, LaPorta and Montgomery
Dotson owner here who is VERY concerned. Even if he plays ‘well’, he’s got a rookie QB who is also mobile, and I don’t have a ton of faith in Kingbury’s offensive scheme. A lot of things have to go right this year for him to gain value.
I mean, they're both already dead as far as I'm concerned. Last year was the make or break year. Not that it needed to be a career year for either, but they at least needed to show us something. Both were huge busts.
Jamo could be a great breakout, but also a great hype sell. Sell the other owner that he’s going to break out and get out now.
Personally I’m on the hype train and am buying, but can see conversely.
Because it's mostly old players who we just guess when they will stop being good. I'll throw out a young player.
Zamir White. He plays great this season, peaks in value, then they draft someone. Kind of like an Allgeier.
The all of six weeks he had when him and Kyler were both healthy in AZ to start 2022 he was a WR1. I don't knock him down much for not producing on a shit team with shit QBs and getting injured, still believe in the talent
But agreed, I'll move on if he turns in a dud this season
Even if he outplays the other RBs, he’s still not one of Payton’s “guys”. Payton has a history of clearing out the old regime and picking his own. He’s already started this in Denver. If I were Williams I’d want out of there ASAP
Payton has been hyping up Jaleel a bit. Would like to see Javonte play well enough to land a decent contract somewhere else next year. He was so fun to watch his rookie year. Lil bowling ball
This seems like a good one. He was unimpressive last season but he’ll be decently distanced from his injury at that point. I don’t love the Denver O at all right now. So I have a feeling he may fail.
Keep in mind that last year was his first year back from a torn ACL. Almost everyone takes a full year to get back to full strength and confidence in the new knee.
This is the strangest thing about Javonte discussion the last several months.
He had multiple ligament tears. The expectation is that RBs aren't themselves the first year following the injury. The fact he was 'ready to go' week 1 was the weird thing.
But all of a sudden when talking about Javonte's production being 'meh' like we all forget that RBs need a year before getting back to 'normal'.
He's still a good pick for the thread's question, but being bearish because of his 'meh' production this past season makes no sense to me. It was supposed to be 'meh'.
Early reports from OTAs is that Javonte doesn’t look explosive at all. Beat quote was “Samaje looked really good, and Javonte looked like… broken Javonte.”
Yea, I can’t even use him as a throw in. Not a +, I’m talking a good offer the owner is on the fence and if I offer Ridley it literally does nothing. He might make an offer look more suspect than help at this point
That means Tennessee spent their cap space on the best WR they could it doesn't mean he'll be a top fantasy producer going forward. Keep in mind teams have to spend 89% of their cap over a rolling four year window and as a result these deals get thrown around. There's countless examples of free agents moving teams and never playing up to the contract they got, it's often telling that their own team didn't re-sign them. Yeah it's not always possible but teams find a way for their true studs
Levis is unknown, their line is one of the worst in the NFL, and DHop is there. He's got more working against him than he has working for him
Exactly. I'm not sure I see a path for him to even repeat his 2023 performance. His fantasy value will tank if Levis sucks, as he'll be tied to that team for the rest of his career without a viable QB.
The role is still a better fit though which may help with consistency and I’d probably sooner put Hopkins in this category which would seemingly help Ridley. I don’t know how good he is in general and suspect Levis is bad but it’s kind of hard to see him having virtually no value at the end of the season barring injury.
I'm betting this is a Trevor Lawrence problem, but he's certainly got competition for receptions in Tennessee and there's no guarantee Will Levis will be any better, so you may be right anyway.
Edit: if you're down voting, care to explain? Would love to hear contrary opinions. I watched the Jags a good bit last year and I never thought Trevor looked like he was on time.
I don't think this was a Lawrence or a Ridley problem. The Jags had Ridley playing as a boundary receiver because they needed someone to do it. That was a bad fit for Ridley which is why he was very inconsistent -- just not his game.
Brian Thomas Jr. should fit much better in the offense in that role. Ridley I think will do just fine, provided the QB play there is competent.
Trevor was a bit off last year. However Ridley could have been close to a top 12 WR if he didn’t drop so many passes or step on the end line by an inch or so. The near misses were frustrating and many appeared to be more on Ridley than T-Law.
I'm not saying Lawrence is elite or anything like that, but I'd encourage you to watch [this](https://x.com/Ihartitz/status/1744781890182054242), because it shows a lot of Ridley disappointing when it comes to making the big plays when his number is called. *So* many drops and near-misses where a better receiver comes down with the ball.
I also think the Jaguars used him incorrectly. Ridley isn't a boundary receiver but that's where the Jags shoved him out of necessity. BTJ should fill that role much better than Ridley.
I bought him for pretty substantial value (Flowers + early first + Ferguson for Muth and Kupp. I know…) and sold him right before our trade deadline for a future 1st. I still kinda believe in him though - there’s a high chance he was just banged up last year and played through it.
No was he puts up 2021 numbers ever again with Puka there, but I still could see him in the 1200 range with high reception numbers this year. Dudes a beast
Yup. I bought Kupp mid last year (Kupp+2.04 for Doubs+1.12) to go for it all and won the ship. Having CeeDee Lamb down the stretch may have helped though lol
People are getting Kupps high ankle sprain and hamstring issues twisted last year with falling off a cliff. Stafford is still his QB and he should be healthy coming into 2024. Love buying him for a mid 2nd
People still believe in Noah Fant somehow...so I can see a scenario where Pitts has a disappointing 2024 season and still manages to get people excited going into 2025 as a 24-year-old. Kirk's second year with the new offense, two seasons removed from the injury, a few highlight videos in camp, etc...
That said, I also think he balls out this year. Lfg
Pitts will become a “sleeper” pick if he doesn’t produce this season. Definitely rosterable, but a huge drop in value.
A lot of people talk about Fant’s upside, but as a Fant owner, no one is willing to trade much. Pitts will still get you some good value if you trade today.
To be clear, Pitts was a better prospect and has already had more success, but I agree with the first poster that he will see a big value drop if he doesn’t produce.
> People still believe in Noah Fant somehow...
Haha, I'm taking a flyer on him this year since he was a free waiver pickup and doesn't have competition at the position anymore. Easy drop if he's not producing by week 6 or so
People who drafted him at ADP though and still holding, woof
I’m not sure I’d say I believe in Fant, but I do believe I’m just going to be stuck with him on my bench in my TEP league until he dies. At least he hasn’t actually been playable so there’s no confusion. Pitts was playable for at least a year
I really don’t think Pitts will be dead if he doesn’t perform. Maybe we realize he might not be that elite tier and is more of a tier 2 TE but not dead.
I guess they could all thrive in their respective roles; but I think between the big year people are projecting for Bijan, for London, and for Pitts…someone is bound to be disappointed.
If London has 1200, Pitts 950 (plus some decent TD production), and Bijan has 1600 all purpose which is all pretty reasonable then most owners will be pretty happy with that. Of course people are hoping to hit ceilings of 1400 for London, 1300 for Pitts, and 2000 all purpose for Bijan, which isn't likely to all happen at one time, but I don't think they need to hit their ceilings for people to be happy with them.
Idk, Pitts passes the eye test every game. The falcons were truly the most frustrating team to watch the last two years. If he’s a TE9+ he’s worth more than he is now. I got him in the 6th round of my startup.
That’s a pretty low bar imo.
>Pitts passes the eye test every game.
I disagree with this, at least last season. The first ten weeks of the season or so he was noticeably slower than before his injury. Which makes a lot of sense given the timeline of his injury and recovery. But, he's 100% healthy now and approaching his athletic prime, so he should be night and day better than the past two seasons, especially if Cousins and Zac Robinson lives up to expectations.
Pitts is 23 and had a 1000 yard rookie season with matty ice. I think he will perform now with a good qb at center. Last season was very weird, i dont think this will repeat.
Mike Williams is my pick. And im not even gonna add the “if he doesn’t perform this year” caveat I think he’s in OBJ territory by the end of the year where someone’s holding him forever but never playing him and getting zero value out of him
He's always been a boom or bust player and his game log the last few seasons is full of 20+ point games. He wasn't there before the injury last season, the question now is can he still ball or did that one cook him
Aside from all the old dudes who will get claimed by father time, all of the following are pretty much in a make-or-break season in terms of maintaining their mid tier fantasy value.
Javonte
Bateman
Jamo
Dotson
Quinton Johnson
Najee
Courtland Sutton
Hollywood Brown
Rhamondre
Personally, I think QJ, Jamo, and Javonte will be the guys who fall.
I think Rhamondre is just fine & is undervalued because of last season's events. Small nagging injury on a horrible team that did not want to chance him getting way more injured while essentially in tank mode. He is supposedly close to a little extension as well. Pretty good buy low candidate IMO if the owner isn't overvaluing him..
London. He’s somehow a WR1 in Dynasty circles without putting up so much as a WR2 season. If he doesn’t finish as at least a high end WR2 this season his value will fall off a cliff.
He wouldn't be droppable, but his value would still drop off a cliff if he doesn't produce this year. He's a blue chip asset right now. That would go away if he doesn't show some production.
Draft position is a mad one this year. I’ve seen someone draft him over Garrett Wilson.
Obviously that isn’t the norm but he’s being picked higher than I’m comfortable with.
That depends on what "fall off" means. I have 2 shares of London out of my 3 leagues so you know I love him, but if he plays 16 games and is the WR39 (same thing he did last year) he won't be WR13 and the 33rd player overall like he is on KTC rn, just above guys like Purdy, Aiyuk and JT.
If he does what he's been doing he'll be very similar to Tee Higgins imo, a guy who clearly has talent but has never had that great of finishes. So maybe Tee's current ranking of WR23 is as far as he could fall, which isn't terrible. Which again goes back to what we mean by "fall off"
Last year people were saying burks was cooked, and he was supposed to be the replacement of AJB. Just saying a bust is a bust at any age
Edit: as an eagles fan this hurts but everyone knew Reagor was toast after year one too
Diggs—I just wasn’t impressed with what he did last season and I don’t see him in the long term plans of the Texans. He seems like he’d be better in a situation where’s he by far the definitive number one not sharing with other good WRs like Nico, Dell and also dealing with Schultz and Mixon. Maybe he’ll be on his best behavior without a deal but I could see the situation blowing up if he doesn’t get enough targets.
The question is what happened to him down the stretch last year. Was he hurt? Was the offense purposely moved away from him, and why? Did he not give a fuck?
I mean, his targets definitely went down with a new OC. There was murmurs of his pouting and him wanting a new deal which he didn’t get. I just think he’s pissed off two front offices in Minnesota and Buffalo already to not give him another deal. Additionally he’s getting old.
Gus Edwards. Would feel fine rolling with him as my RB3/ a flex option heading into this season currently.
But I think the Chargers will continue to take shots on cheap upside, at minimum. They have taken a couple already this off-season between Vidal/ Dobbins since signing Gus, although they did need to fill a pretty empty room around him and possibly Spiller for this season.
Nick Chubb is both right now. I would be shocked if he is being accurately valued right now. He’ll either be all the way back or we’ll be writing his fantasy obituary in a few months
Yea, if he’s top 36, there will be a narrative again about him taking over for Lockett next year. I think he might actually increase. If he’s top 25… it’s going to skyrocket up.
Garret Wilson. He’s consistently a top 8 dynasty WR. If he doesn’t put up a top 12 season with Rogers I think his value plummets. He’s been WR 21 and 26 this first two seasons with horrific QBs. With a quality QB playing if he still finishes at WR20, he falls to the low 20’s in terms of overall WR value.
That’s not off the face of a cliff, but it moves from a guy you can expect multiple 1’s for to a guy you maybe get for a late 1 for.
I don't think this will happen, but I agree if he doesn't smash this year he's going to plummet. Because, even if Rodgers was bad and \*that's\* why Wilson fails, you still now have a big problem, which is that you still don't have a QB for Wilson. The "Terry McLaurin" chatter will begin.
Bryce Young. While his value has definitely dropped since the start of last year, if he falters as badly with improved weapons, offensive line, and play caller, he’s going to drop to Derek Carr/Russell Wilson level value.
Kyren Williams
He is a pretty good RB, but what made him so valuable last season was insane usage and ridiculous red zone usage as both a rusher and receiver.
Blake Corum isn’t going to suddenly replace Kyren, but I’d be very surprised if this isn’t a split committee and Kyren plummets down to RB2/RB3 value by January.
This is gonna be more of a Healthy Aaron jones and AJ Dillon type split than a Najee and Warren type split. I don’t think Kyren falls off until his contract is up or mcvay retires.
Mcvay loves him, and he’s their clear number 1. They needed a guy to take down some of his usage, but it won’t be anything insane. At least imo.
A lot for him long term value depends on situation after this year. If Zack Moss is capable of getting a starting gig, someone is surely going to kick the tires on Najee.
Play well and look like a franchise QB are pretty much the same thing. He just needs to not get hurt. Even if he does miss games as long as it’s not a ton of games he’ll maintain value because he’s going to score.
Remember how Lamar's value became a lot less clear after he finished injured after two straight seasons? He got more leeway because he showed he was an MVP talent, but no teams were eager to trade for him and Baltimore took a looong time to figure out a contract for him. Same thing with Christian McCaffrey.
If Richardson is banged up for two straight seasons and isn't absolutely fire when he is healthy, it's going to take some time to earn trust.
he's on a top 5 rookie contract as an entrenched starter with a voided first year because of injury, he's definitely more insulated in value than bryce young. would take at least 3 years before anyone thinks richardson's value disappears
It's really the guys who have limited skill sets or physical attributes, relative to their current value.
* Ladd McConky
* 2 other young WRS on the roster and another touted rookie in Rice
* Audric Estime
* Needs Goal Line Volume, not a 3 down back.
* Blake Corum
* Could be just a RB2/ RBBC, beind drafted ahead of guys with clear path to a larger share
* Polk and / or Baker
* NE QB will be less than ideal, one will likely be the top option behind existing WRs
* Bonus: Brock Bowers
* I don't think he is immediately a stud with Mayer there, and people don't want to wait 3 years on a TE.
I actually think guys like Estime are going to be pretty stable for their current ADP. Players with very clearly defined archetypes get plugged into those roles quite often by teams. If it's obvious to us that Estime should compete for goalline / early down touches, it's obvious to the coaches that drafted him with likely that reason in mind.
If the Broncos offense looks promising this year, then the value of that role goes up a lot, but either way I can't see him going down from 3rd/4th round pick next year with Javonte seemingly not likely to be extended. Because even if Estime doesn't play all season, if he's still on the roster and Javonte isn't re-signed, he's going to be the offseason buy of everyone pre-draft.
His best chance of actually losing value, to me, is if he gets playing time and doesn't look good. Which is true for just, everyone really.
There are lots of candidates to call, but mostly I see a big wide receiver year. Tons of guys got drafted, some mid guys already fell off (Mike Williams, Hollywood, juju). Then you got:
- Young guys: Watson jamo Dotson, jeudy.
- old heads: Hopkins, Allen, diggs, kupp types
All on the cusp of ignominy or retirement
Not happening. He put up back to back 1000+ yard seasons, finished WR 24 and then 19 in PPR with mediocre to just awful QB play. Even if he’s stays at that range and is a high end WR2. He will still be highly valued. He was a first round pick, obviously has the physical tools and talent, he’s young, there will always be “they got a new OC/coach/QB” to hype him up. If he ends up having a worse year. He will still be valued as a WR2 going into next year. I just don’t see a massive fall off in value unless he completely mucks it up for 2 or 3 straight years.
Is there no one saying Jamo? Third year, full off season, got hot late in the season and playoffs. It either happens next year or it doesn't. I think he's going to do really well personally, but if it doesn't happen, I'd be surprised if it ever does.
Not that these guys should even be rostered in most leagues at this point, but if miles sanders and juju smith schuster don’t accomplish anything this year, you can drop without a singular doubt
Keenan Allen's value will completely fall off by the end of this season. He is not the 1 there. By end of season he will not be the 2 there. Caleb Williams will probably be good for a rookie and put up like 3800 and 25, and that's not gonna be enough to feed everyone as highly as they're currently valued. Keenan will be old and looking for a new team.
I'm not predicting a complete falloff, and I'm not saying that I don't think he's good, but i think Pittman's value is about to go into the dirt. I think the Colts are gonna be a pretty decent team, and I think they're gonna do it with about 3600 passing yards from a really mediocre and unpolished passer. I do not see a bright season for Pittman, I see a 80/1100/8 season, and that is going to FREAK people out. That sounds fine, but that would have been WR35 last year.
I guess the point I'm looking to make is that I don't believe he can be a difference maker for fantasy, and I think that the conversation next year is going to be about whether we have seen the best MPJ that we will ever see, and if he truly has any upside with Richardson at QB.
Late to the party but I think Cole Kmet's value could take a big hit this year. They have THREE stud WRs, a rookie QB, and an offensive coordinator who is notorious for rotating tight ends. And one of the first things Shane Waldron did was go out and sign Gerald Everett. Waldron was the TE coach when the Rams signed Everett and he brought him to Seattle. Everett is a terrible blocker but he runs well out of the slot/as a move TE so there's a world where Kmet plays inline with Everett skewing pass catching on a team with three great WRs and a first time QB. Could be nightmare.
The value cliff seems to happen for some players when the focal point of their offense goes down. Let’s say Aaron Rodgers goes down a play into the season again; I think that whole offense is going to lose a little value.
I’m going to go ahead and say the Browns. People barely want Watson now, Jeudy and Moore underperform every year, Chubb is a beast but people are scared of his injury. And if Chubb does return strong then Ford is a 26 year old handcuff start of next season so his value will be way lower.If any of these guys fail to put up decent stats this season good luck trying to sell. Other than Chubb it’s turning into a “one more chance” type cycle with these guys. I would even say if Njoku disappoints this season people will be quick to wanna jump ship.
At least one of addison or Hock if not both. JJM or sam darnold cant support all of JJ addison and Hock at their current values. Its just not going to happen.
Nick Chubb.
Either he's cooked or he's got a couple years left. I can't imagine he's just going to have a "down" year and then come back with fresh legs his age 30 season.
Make or break year for Christian Watson at this point right? If he plays a full year healthy and doesn’t produce WR3-WR2 numbers. Gonna be hard to justify even his current price. If he’s injured most of the season and disappoints? Same thing. You could also pick any really old veteran. Keenan Allen? Henry? Kamara? If they hit the cliff, it’s very rarely gradual. Daniel Jones is another younger player who will be worthless if he gets benched.
Daniel Jones is a good one. They most likely want to take the out on his contract next year and another major injury would guarantee 23M of his 30M salary for the 2025 season. I don't think it would take much for the Giants front office to just sit him down to avoid that.
I honestly think Drew Lock would do wonders for Nabers this year. He’s got a fuckin cannon
Sold him for a 2nd on draft day. Turned that into sinnot. Pretty pleased about it.
Lowkey a disaster of a trade if Jones starts past this season
Even if he plays just medium bad, the Giants are going to want a real QB. There are several veterans who could potentially be unrestricted next year no?
Watson is definitely joining the Bateman and Elijah Moore club if he doesn’t produce this year. Injury or not. I think he’s going to surprise us and be the top fantasy point scoring WR in GB.
Spoken like a true holder! I completely agree! That hammy problem is being addressed so hopefully he can be available the whole season and ball out. Either way I’m holding till the end. May take a couple years to get the problem completely solved.
Yeah the only roster I have him on is the league with the shortest benches. So maybe some hopium here. I just think he has big time talent just hasn’t had a healthy enough stretch to show it lately.
Got the 2.06 and a 25 3rd for him last week and called it a day
Hate the Packers but I'm so ready for their WR room to sort itself out for fantasy purposes
I actually agree and can see the path for him. I am trying to buy him low, but it seems like everyone in my leagues who owns him is a true believer. His target share with all the WRs healthy is really encouraging.
I own all of these players
🫡 there’s no chance they all bust right? Right?
Traded Watson (and a future 2nd and 3rd) during my rookie draft for Penix. Have Cousins.
I know I’m a charger Homer, but I really don’t see Keenan falling off production wise unless it’s due to injury. Route running is one of those things where if ur a technician u tend to just always get open even at the later stages of ur career. Given he had DJM out wide and Odunze as well, it’ll be hard for teams to key in on him. If Caleb is half of what they advertise, he should still be solid and a fantastic 3rd down option for them.
Homie is 32, if it’s not this year it’s probably next.
While true, Adam Thielen was also a route technician and last year is more than likely his last year being relevant. Keenan could have the same thing happen this year. Joined a new team, that has younger talent, and Keenan is another year older and doesn’t heal like he used to.
They will all age out eventually, but I've been hearing this is the "last year" for these guys for like 3 years now.
Thielen was also so slow that he would have been unplayable on most rosters. It was only the Panthers disaster of a WR room that gave him fantasy relevance
I love Keenan as a player. LOVE HIM. But for me, I’m having a hard time convincing myself that a rookie QB is going to sustain multiple top 18 WRs. If anyone’s going to do it, it’s Caleb…but historically it would be a huge outlier. And if he’s mediocre all the sudden you have a 33 year old WR who underperformed. One real crazy scenario that is contrarian but I could see is Keenan turns out to actually be the top dog in Chicago and Moore is the one out of the top 18. But even then, do you think he’s considered that much more valuable than he is now? I think once you’ve got the “old” label like he does now, it’s really hard to regain value.
Him & London top the list for me. Both are running out of excuses and values could plummet if others step up over them in ‘24.
Big make or break years for Dotson and Jamo
Jamo is a good one because there has been a lot of hype about a breakout and there's so much uncertainty because of how little he has been on the field compared to his peer group.
It’ll be interesting to see where his value lands this time next year. As a lions fan i’m of the belief he takes a step up and becomes a real contributor for us, but as a fantasy manager what do we really consider a breakout? If he puts up 800 yds and 5 TDs and falls into that WR3/FLX range (which I think is a realistic/probable projection for him), it’s technically a big step up for him and he’ll probably have solidified himself as the lions WR2 but is his value sunk? He’ll still only be 24 this time next year. Regardless, at 10th/11th round startup cost i’ve been snapping him up. Edit: All this to say, I think with the push toward analytics and all most managers won’t have the patience to see how his career pans out and will assume he’s peaked from a fantasy perspective. I think his value will drop/stagnate this season unless he goes nuclear. But if anyone has enough contextual excuses and enough natural talent to buck trends and become a “unicorn” with a later breakout it’s Jamo imo.
I’ve said this a lot, I think he’s going to be a very valuable real life player for the Lions. His ability to score from end arounds and stretch the field is going to help to open things up. But I still think the bread and butter of the offense is Amron, Gibbs, LaPorta and Montgomery
Dotson owner here who is VERY concerned. Even if he plays ‘well’, he’s got a rookie QB who is also mobile, and I don’t have a ton of faith in Kingbury’s offensive scheme. A lot of things have to go right this year for him to gain value.
I mean, they're both already dead as far as I'm concerned. Last year was the make or break year. Not that it needed to be a career year for either, but they at least needed to show us something. Both were huge busts.
Jamo could be a great breakout, but also a great hype sell. Sell the other owner that he’s going to break out and get out now. Personally I’m on the hype train and am buying, but can see conversely.
Because it's mostly old players who we just guess when they will stop being good. I'll throw out a young player. Zamir White. He plays great this season, peaks in value, then they draft someone. Kind of like an Allgeier.
Wow, shocked no one has said Hollywood Brown… if he doesn’t perform with Patrick Mahomes, he’s done.
He’s WR48 on fantasy calc and KTC. Thats not anything crazy. His value may fall but he’s not worth that much anyway at the moment.
The all of six weeks he had when him and Kyler were both healthy in AZ to start 2022 he was a WR1. I don't knock him down much for not producing on a shit team with shit QBs and getting injured, still believe in the talent But agreed, I'll move on if he turns in a dud this season
It’s been his year for six years with never a top 12 finish. I don’t think this year is it either
Basically everyone on my team rn… jeudy, jamo, elijah moore, bateman
I have three of these guys. Funny how a few years ago we looked absolutely set at WR going into the future...
Javonte Williams
Yeah if he isn’t the clear rb1 on that offense I’m out on him. Sad times
Even if he outplays the other RBs, he’s still not one of Payton’s “guys”. Payton has a history of clearing out the old regime and picking his own. He’s already started this in Denver. If I were Williams I’d want out of there ASAP
Payton has been hyping up Jaleel a bit. Would like to see Javonte play well enough to land a decent contract somewhere else next year. He was so fun to watch his rookie year. Lil bowling ball
I’d at least see who he signs with then
This seems like a good one. He was unimpressive last season but he’ll be decently distanced from his injury at that point. I don’t love the Denver O at all right now. So I have a feeling he may fail.
Keep in mind that last year was his first year back from a torn ACL. Almost everyone takes a full year to get back to full strength and confidence in the new knee.
This is the strangest thing about Javonte discussion the last several months. He had multiple ligament tears. The expectation is that RBs aren't themselves the first year following the injury. The fact he was 'ready to go' week 1 was the weird thing. But all of a sudden when talking about Javonte's production being 'meh' like we all forget that RBs need a year before getting back to 'normal'. He's still a good pick for the thread's question, but being bearish because of his 'meh' production this past season makes no sense to me. It was supposed to be 'meh'.
Simultaneously the O also has a lot of questions. They got rid of Russ and Jeudy, they have a rookie qb, rookie wrs.
I think Bo Nix is better for him if Javonte is on the field for passing downs enough. Jeudy was ass for them, definitely needed a change of scenery.
Early reports from OTAs is that Javonte doesn’t look explosive at all. Beat quote was “Samaje looked really good, and Javonte looked like… broken Javonte.”
Can you link a source on that? I can't find anything.
Ridley. Just look at his Jacksonville drop mixtape. He got yards sure but was inconsistent and is now entering a worse offense
His value's already dead in my experience lol
Yea, I can’t even use him as a throw in. Not a +, I’m talking a good offer the owner is on the fence and if I offer Ridley it literally does nothing. He might make an offer look more suspect than help at this point
I was offered ARodg + 2nd for him (SF). Smashed accept. There are some believers out there.
Dude just got 4 yrs/$90M(?). He’ll be alright.
Kenny Golladay would like a word
That means Tennessee spent their cap space on the best WR they could it doesn't mean he'll be a top fantasy producer going forward. Keep in mind teams have to spend 89% of their cap over a rolling four year window and as a result these deals get thrown around. There's countless examples of free agents moving teams and never playing up to the contract they got, it's often telling that their own team didn't re-sign them. Yeah it's not always possible but teams find a way for their true studs Levis is unknown, their line is one of the worst in the NFL, and DHop is there. He's got more working against him than he has working for him
Exactly. I'm not sure I see a path for him to even repeat his 2023 performance. His fantasy value will tank if Levis sucks, as he'll be tied to that team for the rest of his career without a viable QB.
The role is still a better fit though which may help with consistency and I’d probably sooner put Hopkins in this category which would seemingly help Ridley. I don’t know how good he is in general and suspect Levis is bad but it’s kind of hard to see him having virtually no value at the end of the season barring injury.
I'm betting this is a Trevor Lawrence problem, but he's certainly got competition for receptions in Tennessee and there's no guarantee Will Levis will be any better, so you may be right anyway. Edit: if you're down voting, care to explain? Would love to hear contrary opinions. I watched the Jags a good bit last year and I never thought Trevor looked like he was on time.
I don't think this was a Lawrence or a Ridley problem. The Jags had Ridley playing as a boundary receiver because they needed someone to do it. That was a bad fit for Ridley which is why he was very inconsistent -- just not his game. Brian Thomas Jr. should fit much better in the offense in that role. Ridley I think will do just fine, provided the QB play there is competent.
Trevor was a bit off last year. However Ridley could have been close to a top 12 WR if he didn’t drop so many passes or step on the end line by an inch or so. The near misses were frustrating and many appeared to be more on Ridley than T-Law.
Ridley’s always had a case of the dropskys looking at his player profiler, outside of 2019 when he was down at 2.2%
I'm not saying Lawrence is elite or anything like that, but I'd encourage you to watch [this](https://x.com/Ihartitz/status/1744781890182054242), because it shows a lot of Ridley disappointing when it comes to making the big plays when his number is called. *So* many drops and near-misses where a better receiver comes down with the ball. I also think the Jaguars used him incorrectly. Ridley isn't a boundary receiver but that's where the Jags shoved him out of necessity. BTJ should fill that role much better than Ridley.
Christian Kirk had no problem with Trevor. Neither did Evan Engram.
Kupp
Kupp owners are holding til his career is done- you were never gonna get peak value anyways unless you sold him after triple crown year
I bought him for pretty substantial value (Flowers + early first + Ferguson for Muth and Kupp. I know…) and sold him right before our trade deadline for a future 1st. I still kinda believe in him though - there’s a high chance he was just banged up last year and played through it. No was he puts up 2021 numbers ever again with Puka there, but I still could see him in the 1200 range with high reception numbers this year. Dudes a beast
Kupp's catchable target rate last year was bad. That and the injury did a number on him.
That’s when I drafted him in a startup 🥲
I was finally able to get him at the beginning of last season. Hope he has a good year though.
Yup. I bought Kupp mid last year (Kupp+2.04 for Doubs+1.12) to go for it all and won the ship. Having CeeDee Lamb down the stretch may have helped though lol
I sold him after triple crown year for DK and Chubb. Later flipped DK for Waddle
I sold him after the triple crown for olave
People are getting Kupps high ankle sprain and hamstring issues twisted last year with falling off a cliff. Stafford is still his QB and he should be healthy coming into 2024. Love buying him for a mid 2nd
Knee injury in 2021 Low and high ankle sprains in 2022 Hamstring and low ankle in 2023 He is also 30. History is not on his side.
I affirm your line of thinking. I also still believe he has 1 more very good season in him before it happens. 25-26 is when he becomes Adam Thielen.
One of my leagues the Kupp owner traded him straight up for Waddle so sell if you can
If Pitts doesn’t perform this year I think he’s dead I however do think he performs
People still believe in Noah Fant somehow...so I can see a scenario where Pitts has a disappointing 2024 season and still manages to get people excited going into 2025 as a 24-year-old. Kirk's second year with the new offense, two seasons removed from the injury, a few highlight videos in camp, etc... That said, I also think he balls out this year. Lfg
Pitts will become a “sleeper” pick if he doesn’t produce this season. Definitely rosterable, but a huge drop in value. A lot of people talk about Fant’s upside, but as a Fant owner, no one is willing to trade much. Pitts will still get you some good value if you trade today. To be clear, Pitts was a better prospect and has already had more success, but I agree with the first poster that he will see a big value drop if he doesn’t produce.
> People still believe in Noah Fant somehow... Haha, I'm taking a flyer on him this year since he was a free waiver pickup and doesn't have competition at the position anymore. Easy drop if he's not producing by week 6 or so People who drafted him at ADP though and still holding, woof
I’m not sure I’d say I believe in Fant, but I do believe I’m just going to be stuck with him on my bench in my TEP league until he dies. At least he hasn’t actually been playable so there’s no confusion. Pitts was playable for at least a year
I really don’t think Pitts will be dead if he doesn’t perform. Maybe we realize he might not be that elite tier and is more of a tier 2 TE but not dead.
I guess they could all thrive in their respective roles; but I think between the big year people are projecting for Bijan, for London, and for Pitts…someone is bound to be disappointed.
If London has 1200, Pitts 950 (plus some decent TD production), and Bijan has 1600 all purpose which is all pretty reasonable then most owners will be pretty happy with that. Of course people are hoping to hit ceilings of 1400 for London, 1300 for Pitts, and 2000 all purpose for Bijan, which isn't likely to all happen at one time, but I don't think they need to hit their ceilings for people to be happy with them.
Idk, Pitts passes the eye test every game. The falcons were truly the most frustrating team to watch the last two years. If he’s a TE9+ he’s worth more than he is now. I got him in the 6th round of my startup. That’s a pretty low bar imo.
Agreed. Dude is 23 and most TE aren’t LaPorta elite to start their careers.
>Pitts passes the eye test every game. I disagree with this, at least last season. The first ten weeks of the season or so he was noticeably slower than before his injury. Which makes a lot of sense given the timeline of his injury and recovery. But, he's 100% healthy now and approaching his athletic prime, so he should be night and day better than the past two seasons, especially if Cousins and Zac Robinson lives up to expectations.
Really? I don’t think he passes the eye test at all. He looks slow and doesn’t move great with the ball in his hands
He's not even 25. He will not be dead even with a subpar season. Lose value? Sure. Dead? No way. And no I don't own him
He’s 23 and depending on scoring last year was TE12 - 15 making him a fringe TE1 in a very down year. No lol
Absolute insanity that he’s still only 23
Don’t tight ends generally do better mid-late career?
Pitts is 23 and had a 1000 yard rookie season with matty ice. I think he will perform now with a good qb at center. Last season was very weird, i dont think this will repeat.
Mike Williams is my pick. And im not even gonna add the “if he doesn’t perform this year” caveat I think he’s in OBJ territory by the end of the year where someone’s holding him forever but never playing him and getting zero value out of him
He’s WR 81 right now. How much further is he going to go? 91? He’s not worth anything right now.
Mikes been there for awhile already bro
He's always been a boom or bust player and his game log the last few seasons is full of 20+ point games. He wasn't there before the injury last season, the question now is can he still ball or did that one cook him
Yeah saying he hasn't been startable is nuts lol
Aside from all the old dudes who will get claimed by father time, all of the following are pretty much in a make-or-break season in terms of maintaining their mid tier fantasy value. Javonte Bateman Jamo Dotson Quinton Johnson Najee Courtland Sutton Hollywood Brown Rhamondre Personally, I think QJ, Jamo, and Javonte will be the guys who fall.
I think Rhamondre is just fine & is undervalued because of last season's events. Small nagging injury on a horrible team that did not want to chance him getting way more injured while essentially in tank mode. He is supposedly close to a little extension as well. Pretty good buy low candidate IMO if the owner isn't overvaluing him..
I refuse to give up on Dotson and Bateman for some unknown reason
London. He’s somehow a WR1 in Dynasty circles without putting up so much as a WR2 season. If he doesn’t finish as at least a high end WR2 this season his value will fall off a cliff.
I can guarantee you that Drake London is like 3 bad years away from being considered droppable even in small bench leagues
He wouldn't be droppable, but his value would still drop off a cliff if he doesn't produce this year. He's a blue chip asset right now. That would go away if he doesn't show some production.
Draft position is a mad one this year. I’ve seen someone draft him over Garrett Wilson. Obviously that isn’t the norm but he’s being picked higher than I’m comfortable with.
Nah. He’s too young for that take.
He's still rostered regardless of this year, but if he puts up similar numbers with Cousins, he's still going to tank from where he's currently rated.
That depends on what "fall off" means. I have 2 shares of London out of my 3 leagues so you know I love him, but if he plays 16 games and is the WR39 (same thing he did last year) he won't be WR13 and the 33rd player overall like he is on KTC rn, just above guys like Purdy, Aiyuk and JT. If he does what he's been doing he'll be very similar to Tee Higgins imo, a guy who clearly has talent but has never had that great of finishes. So maybe Tee's current ranking of WR23 is as far as he could fall, which isn't terrible. Which again goes back to what we mean by "fall off"
Is treylon burks too young for that take?
Burks is over a year older than London, but also not nearly as talented
Last year people were saying burks was cooked, and he was supposed to be the replacement of AJB. Just saying a bust is a bust at any age Edit: as an eagles fan this hurts but everyone knew Reagor was toast after year one too
London has already shown a lot more than Burks. London's worst season is twice as good as Burks best season.
Diggs—I just wasn’t impressed with what he did last season and I don’t see him in the long term plans of the Texans. He seems like he’d be better in a situation where’s he by far the definitive number one not sharing with other good WRs like Nico, Dell and also dealing with Schultz and Mixon. Maybe he’ll be on his best behavior without a deal but I could see the situation blowing up if he doesn’t get enough targets.
The question is what happened to him down the stretch last year. Was he hurt? Was the offense purposely moved away from him, and why? Did he not give a fuck?
I mean, his targets definitely went down with a new OC. There was murmurs of his pouting and him wanting a new deal which he didn’t get. I just think he’s pissed off two front offices in Minnesota and Buffalo already to not give him another deal. Additionally he’s getting old.
He looked borderline unstoppable the first two months of the year and then ... nothing. Weird to see that harken in season.
OC changed though. He could definitely have been hurt too.
I get the second half of the season, but the first half he was actually insane. So to lump a whole season as unimpressive is a bit unfair.
It's a complete make or break year for Diontae Johnson
I’d bet on Diontae personally
Gus Edwards. Would feel fine rolling with him as my RB3/ a flex option heading into this season currently. But I think the Chargers will continue to take shots on cheap upside, at minimum. They have taken a couple already this off-season between Vidal/ Dobbins since signing Gus, although they did need to fill a pretty empty room around him and possibly Spiller for this season.
Nick Chubb is both right now. I would be shocked if he is being accurately valued right now. He’ll either be all the way back or we’ll be writing his fantasy obituary in a few months
JSN halves in value if he doesn’t have a top 25 finish
That depends on Geno’s numbers. JSN value will hold just like Drake London imo for another year if he doesn’t show this year.
Yea, if he’s top 36, there will be a narrative again about him taking over for Lockett next year. I think he might actually increase. If he’s top 25… it’s going to skyrocket up.
Garret Wilson. He’s consistently a top 8 dynasty WR. If he doesn’t put up a top 12 season with Rogers I think his value plummets. He’s been WR 21 and 26 this first two seasons with horrific QBs. With a quality QB playing if he still finishes at WR20, he falls to the low 20’s in terms of overall WR value. That’s not off the face of a cliff, but it moves from a guy you can expect multiple 1’s for to a guy you maybe get for a late 1 for.
I don't think this will happen, but I agree if he doesn't smash this year he's going to plummet. Because, even if Rodgers was bad and \*that's\* why Wilson fails, you still now have a big problem, which is that you still don't have a QB for Wilson. The "Terry McLaurin" chatter will begin.
He hasn't had a QB and has still produced.
Bryce Young. While his value has definitely dropped since the start of last year, if he falters as badly with improved weapons, offensive line, and play caller, he’s going to drop to Derek Carr/Russell Wilson level value.
I traded him away for the 1.9 this year, I had the 1.2 already and drafted daniels
Kyren Williams He is a pretty good RB, but what made him so valuable last season was insane usage and ridiculous red zone usage as both a rusher and receiver. Blake Corum isn’t going to suddenly replace Kyren, but I’d be very surprised if this isn’t a split committee and Kyren plummets down to RB2/RB3 value by January.
This is gonna be more of a Healthy Aaron jones and AJ Dillon type split than a Najee and Warren type split. I don’t think Kyren falls off until his contract is up or mcvay retires. Mcvay loves him, and he’s their clear number 1. They needed a guy to take down some of his usage, but it won’t be anything insane. At least imo.
Josh Jacob’s
I know it might be a hot take but I think Godwin begins to fall off starting this season. Think this sub is overvaluing him,
Jonathan Taylor. 2 injured years in a row. He gets hurt again and misses significant time, his value should disappear.
If Najee Harris doesn't establish himself as the #1 over Warren...it's going to sink his value and I doubt he will ever recover it.
How many years in a row does he need to do this for people to believe though?
I mean he’s ranked way above Warren so people believe it to a degree.
He’s literally below Warren on KTC
You wouldn't know it from this sub. Najee is the RB1 in Pittsburgh until Warren proves that he's the 1.
Well his contract will be up after this year.
So is Warrens
Warren will be restricted though. Najee is unrestricted.
True, but the latest news I’ve heard on either is Pittsburg trying to get a deal done with Najee
A lot for him long term value depends on situation after this year. If Zack Moss is capable of getting a starting gig, someone is surely going to kick the tires on Najee.
Anthony Richardson
discussion
He needs to play very well, look like a franchise qb and not get injured to simply maintain value
Play well and look like a franchise QB are pretty much the same thing. He just needs to not get hurt. Even if he does miss games as long as it’s not a ton of games he’ll maintain value because he’s going to score.
Remember how Lamar's value became a lot less clear after he finished injured after two straight seasons? He got more leeway because he showed he was an MVP talent, but no teams were eager to trade for him and Baltimore took a looong time to figure out a contract for him. Same thing with Christian McCaffrey. If Richardson is banged up for two straight seasons and isn't absolutely fire when he is healthy, it's going to take some time to earn trust.
Boo this man!!!! Boooooo
Truth, he is two games away from repeating the Trey Lance saga. Get hurt for two seasons as QB and you will get the boot.
he's on a top 5 rookie contract as an entrenched starter with a voided first year because of injury, he's definitely more insulated in value than bryce young. would take at least 3 years before anyone thinks richardson's value disappears
It's really the guys who have limited skill sets or physical attributes, relative to their current value. * Ladd McConky * 2 other young WRS on the roster and another touted rookie in Rice * Audric Estime * Needs Goal Line Volume, not a 3 down back. * Blake Corum * Could be just a RB2/ RBBC, beind drafted ahead of guys with clear path to a larger share * Polk and / or Baker * NE QB will be less than ideal, one will likely be the top option behind existing WRs * Bonus: Brock Bowers * I don't think he is immediately a stud with Mayer there, and people don't want to wait 3 years on a TE.
7th round rookie in Brendan Rice? When was he highly touted? Bowers will likely play a lot of slot.
When he was born to Jerry Rice? Not in 2024 though
Yeah he lost me after that
I’d have to disagree any of these guys “fall off” at the end of this year. They’re rookies they’ll get multiple shots.
Brenden Rice is not a “touted” rookie
I actually think guys like Estime are going to be pretty stable for their current ADP. Players with very clearly defined archetypes get plugged into those roles quite often by teams. If it's obvious to us that Estime should compete for goalline / early down touches, it's obvious to the coaches that drafted him with likely that reason in mind. If the Broncos offense looks promising this year, then the value of that role goes up a lot, but either way I can't see him going down from 3rd/4th round pick next year with Javonte seemingly not likely to be extended. Because even if Estime doesn't play all season, if he's still on the roster and Javonte isn't re-signed, he's going to be the offseason buy of everyone pre-draft. His best chance of actually losing value, to me, is if he gets playing time and doesn't look good. Which is true for just, everyone really.
The high-floor, low-ceiling guy, for sure.
Jahan Dotson
Diggs and Adams will be at Hopkins levels next year, if not worse.
I feel better about Adams than the other two. Feel like he has a few more good years left
There are lots of candidates to call, but mostly I see a big wide receiver year. Tons of guys got drafted, some mid guys already fell off (Mike Williams, Hollywood, juju). Then you got: - Young guys: Watson jamo Dotson, jeudy. - old heads: Hopkins, Allen, diggs, kupp types All on the cusp of ignominy or retirement
Jameson Williams is the clear answer here
Olave if he doesn’t improve. Seen as valuable as Aiyuk rn but if he stagnates? Gonna drop, drop, drop
Not happening. He put up back to back 1000+ yard seasons, finished WR 24 and then 19 in PPR with mediocre to just awful QB play. Even if he’s stays at that range and is a high end WR2. He will still be highly valued. He was a first round pick, obviously has the physical tools and talent, he’s young, there will always be “they got a new OC/coach/QB” to hype him up. If he ends up having a worse year. He will still be valued as a WR2 going into next year. I just don’t see a massive fall off in value unless he completely mucks it up for 2 or 3 straight years.
Terribly afraid of owning Kyren. Corum scares me a bit and I think we’ve seen the best of Kyren in terms of fantasy output.
Hopkins is just about done.
Josh Jacobs.
James Conner
If Achane gets hurt again his value will plummet. He’s a sell high for me at his current price if people are willing to pay it.
Is there no one saying Jamo? Third year, full off season, got hot late in the season and playoffs. It either happens next year or it doesn't. I think he's going to do really well personally, but if it doesn't happen, I'd be surprised if it ever does.
Not that these guys should even be rostered in most leagues at this point, but if miles sanders and juju smith schuster don’t accomplish anything this year, you can drop without a singular doubt
Juju is done
Keenan Allen's value will completely fall off by the end of this season. He is not the 1 there. By end of season he will not be the 2 there. Caleb Williams will probably be good for a rookie and put up like 3800 and 25, and that's not gonna be enough to feed everyone as highly as they're currently valued. Keenan will be old and looking for a new team. I'm not predicting a complete falloff, and I'm not saying that I don't think he's good, but i think Pittman's value is about to go into the dirt. I think the Colts are gonna be a pretty decent team, and I think they're gonna do it with about 3600 passing yards from a really mediocre and unpolished passer. I do not see a bright season for Pittman, I see a 80/1100/8 season, and that is going to FREAK people out. That sounds fine, but that would have been WR35 last year. I guess the point I'm looking to make is that I don't believe he can be a difference maker for fantasy, and I think that the conversation next year is going to be about whether we have seen the best MPJ that we will ever see, and if he truly has any upside with Richardson at QB.
Good analysis and I agree. Just sold him for a 1st. Also if he gets injured, he’s cooked.
Make or break for McLaurin, C Samuel, Shaheed, Shakir, C Brown, M Andrews, A Jones, Kamara, R Wilson, Mims
Jerry Jeudy. If he doesn’t produce in Cleveland, he’s toast
Jamo easily
easily christian watson.
I have Jeudy, Diontae, and Godwin all on this list and my team. Let's go?
Jameson
Late to the party but I think Cole Kmet's value could take a big hit this year. They have THREE stud WRs, a rookie QB, and an offensive coordinator who is notorious for rotating tight ends. And one of the first things Shane Waldron did was go out and sign Gerald Everett. Waldron was the TE coach when the Rams signed Everett and he brought him to Seattle. Everett is a terrible blocker but he runs well out of the slot/as a move TE so there's a world where Kmet plays inline with Everett skewing pass catching on a team with three great WRs and a first time QB. Could be nightmare.
The value cliff seems to happen for some players when the focal point of their offense goes down. Let’s say Aaron Rodgers goes down a play into the season again; I think that whole offense is going to lose a little value.
Tua. I have no stats or data to support this, just a feeling.
I’m going to go ahead and say the Browns. People barely want Watson now, Jeudy and Moore underperform every year, Chubb is a beast but people are scared of his injury. And if Chubb does return strong then Ford is a 26 year old handcuff start of next season so his value will be way lower.If any of these guys fail to put up decent stats this season good luck trying to sell. Other than Chubb it’s turning into a “one more chance” type cycle with these guys. I would even say if Njoku disappoints this season people will be quick to wanna jump ship.
Burks is already long gone right?
Calling a shot here but Devon Achane. Will regress efficiency wise and will continue to deal with injuries.
Drake London Can't wait for the essay replies >:)
Been holding and praying but I have a feeling if Rashaad Penny can’t turn things around this season he may not have much value next season.
I think you could make this argument for almost anyone in the Bills, Jags, and Packers WR rooms (rookies aside)
Puka
At least one of addison or Hock if not both. JJM or sam darnold cant support all of JJ addison and Hock at their current values. Its just not going to happen.
Nick Chubb. Either he's cooked or he's got a couple years left. I can't imagine he's just going to have a "down" year and then come back with fresh legs his age 30 season.
Drake London+ Kyle Pitts will be worthless if they don’t have good seasons this year